$NVDA is up over 4% in premarket after confirming its Q3 earnings date of November 17. That announcement relit AI sentim ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
Options Plunge · Morning Brief
Into the Open
Friday, November 6, 2026
SPY
$734.24
+0.17%
QQQ
$656.80
+1.54%
IWM
$271.37
+0.14%
VIX
27.40
-2.77%
Spot · overnight / session change
Hey guys, Happy Friday! Here is your morning brief.
Opening bias
$NVDA is up over 4% in premarket after confirming its Q3 earnings date of November 17. That announcement relit AI sentiment overnight and is single-handedly driving the bid in QQQ. One name is setting the bullish tone into the open — but yesterday's tape tells a very different story underneath.
Session Setup

Yesterday was ugly beneath the surface. The Nasdaq entered correction territory, the S&P posted one of its largest single-day market-cap losses on record, and every sector closed red. Technology led the damage at -8%, followed by Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Energy all down hard. Breadth confirmed it — fewer than one advancer for every four decliners. The move was carried by a small number of large names. Most of the market did not participate in any recovery attempt.

This morning QQQ is up 1.54% and SPY is up 0.17% — a meaningful divergence that tells you exactly where the overnight strength is concentrated. $NVDA is doing the heavy lifting for the Nasdaq. Strip it out and the broader market is barely breathing. $MSFT was down nearly 3.6% yesterday, with the attached headline being a Scout Clean Energy wind farm achieving commercial operations — no obvious read-through to Microsoft's core business, which makes that decline worth watching for follow-through or mean reversion.

On the earnings side, $NET is exploding over 20% premarket after Cloudflare reported 39% sales growth. $APP surged 31% in yesterday's session on strong AI-driven earnings. $IREN is up 16% on flow alone. These are isolated pockets of strength, not a broad tape recovery. $VCYT cratered 54% yesterday with no headline — pure flow-driven destruction, a reminder of how disorderly this tape remains under the hood. VIX at 27.40 is off its highs but still elevated. This is not a low-vol, grind-higher environment.

Sector Tone
Communication Services · XLC -0.59%
Utilities · XLU -0.71%
Consumer Staples · XLP -0.75%
Real Estate · XLRE -1.82%
Health Care · XLV -2.50%
Financials · XLF -2.87%
Materials · XLB -2.91%
Energy · XLE -2.98%
Consumer Discretionary · XLY -3.83%
Industrials · XLI -4.12%
Technology · XLK -8.00%
Movers
Index Driver Earnings $NVDA +4.08% Nvidia Corp
Nvidia will report Q3 earnings on Nov. 17, a critical moment for the company and broader AI market. — -9.26% yesterday
Index Driver $MSFT -3.58% Microsoft Corp
Scout Clean Energy announced that its 183 MW Nimbus Wind Farm in Arkansas has achieved commercial operations.
Premarket Earnings $NET +20.51% Cloudflare, Inc. Class A common stock, par value $0.001 per share
Cloudflare Sales Up 39%, Gross Margin Falls: Rapid Earnings Reaction
Premarket $IREN +16.36% IREN Limited Ordinary Shares
No headline — flow-driven
Yesterday $VCYT -54.30% Veracyte, Inc.
No headline — flow-driven
Yesterday Earnings $APP +31.04% Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
APP Q3 Earnings Call Highlights AI Model Gains and Growth Outlook
Premarket prints are thin and can reverse at the open.
Levels for Today
SPY
Support
721.82  ·  710.63
Resistance
755.08  ·  777.15
QQQ
Support
634.85  ·  622.65
Resistance
671.45  ·  695.85
The line that matters: Watch SPY 721.82 — that is the first support pivot. A break below it opens the door to 710.63. Holding it into the close would be the first constructive sign that yesterday's record selling is finding a floor.
Today's Watch

The jobs report and unemployment rate hit this morning and will immediately compete with the $NVDA-driven bid for control of the tape. A strong number raises rate-path concerns and could cap or reverse the premarket bounce. A weak number could amplify the growth fears that helped trigger yesterday's historic selloff. We also have three Fed speakers on the calendar — Bowman, Musalem, and Williams — and any hawkish tone on inflation expectations lands into a market already sitting on correction lows.

UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations round out the macro picture. If inflation expectations tick higher alongside a soft sentiment read, the risk-off pressure that hammered Financials, Energy, and Real Estate yesterday has fresh fuel. The $NVDA earnings date catalyst is a one-day narrative trade — November 17 is still eleven days away, and the broader index needs more than one name to sustain a recovery.

2026-11-06 Non-Farm Employment Change — Labor market
2026-11-06 Unemployment Rate — Labor market
2026-11-06 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment — Consumer mood
2026-11-06 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations — Inflation
2026-11-06 FOMC Member Bowman Speaks — Fed policy
2026-11-06 FOMC Member Musalem Speaks — Fed policy
2026-11-06 FOMC Member Williams Speaks — Fed policy
Headlines in Play
Robinhood Made $173 Million From Prediction Markets Last Quarter, More Than From Crypto. Can That Carry the Stock?
Robinhood's prediction market (event contracts) business surged 6x year-over-year to $173 million in Q3 2026, exceeding crypto revenue and helping offset a 55% decline in the crypto segment. While the prediction market business shows strong
Visa Has Grown Earnings per Share by 17% a Year for a Decade. Can the Stock Keep Compounding?
Visa has delivered impressive 17.4% annualized EPS growth over the past decade, driving a 459% total stock return. While analysts expect continued double-digit EPS growth over the next three years and the company has only captured half its
The Nasdaq Just Hit Correction Territory. History Says the Stock Market Will Do This Next (Hint: It May Stun You)
The Nasdaq Composite entered correction territory on November 5, 2026, falling 11.6% from its October peak amid concerns about AI spending sustainability. Historically, the Nasdaq has recovered strongly after corrections, averaging 21% retu
Yikes! The Stock Market Just Did Something It Has Never Done Before. History Is Clear About What Comes Next.
U.S. stock markets experienced their largest single-day declines in market capitalization on record on November 5, 2026, with the S&P 500 dropping 4.3% and the Nasdaq Composite falling 5.5%. The selloff was triggered by midterm election res
Acrivon Expands into Immunology and Inflammation with Acquisition of Phase 2-Ready Differentiated, Oral JAK1 Inhibitor ACR-525, and PKCθ Inhibitor Preclinical Program from Aqilion
Acrivon Therapeutics acquired ACR-525, a Phase 2-ready oral JAK1 inhibitor, and a PKCθ inhibitor preclinical program from Aqilion AB for undisclosed cash consideration. The acquisition establishes immunology and inflammation as a strategic
Salesforce Stock: The 1 Number Investors Still Need to See
Salesforce is expanding its Agent Fabric to help enterprises monitor and manage AI agents across multiple platforms, with over 1.2 billion daily requests. While the potential for additional revenue is substantial given its large customer ba
The biggest risk
The cleanest bear risk is a jobs print that disappoints or inflation expectations that surprise to the upside — either one collapses the premarket bid before the cash open and sends SPY back through 721.82 with no structural support until 710. The bull risk is that a clean jobs number combined with $NVDA's momentum and the $NET earnings beat triggers a short-covering squeeze in a tape that was heavily sold yesterday. But with breadth as narrow as it was and VIX still above 27, any squeeze needs broad participation to hold — and yesterday's internals gave no indication that participation is there.
Have a great Friday and a good weekend, guys!
Open the Options Plunge app →
Educational market commentary, not financial advice. Levels and scenarios are analytical, not trade instructions. Figures reflect data available at 2026-11-06 08:15 ET.
Options Plunge
Email preferences  ·  Unsubscribe